Crypto · token detail
BTC
Price over time with each watched policy decision marked. Dot size and color scale with the anomaly score, which reflects how abnormal, early, and benchmark-decoupled the move was around that decision, weighted by the influence spend behind the token.
BTC price (log scale), Jan 1, 2017 – Jun 30, 2026. Markers are policy events; redder and larger means a higher anomaly score.
39 scored policy events for BTC
| Score | Policy decision | Direction | Components | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | Establishment of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and United States Digital Asset Stockpile Mar 11, 2025 | unknown | pre 93 · decoupling 18 · mag 7 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 40 | GENIUS Act Implementation Oct 1, 2025 | bullish | pre 7 · decoupling 55 · mag 68 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 36 | Bank Secrecy Act and Sanctions Compliance Standards for FDIC-Supervised Permitted Payment Stablecoin Issuers Jun 5, 2026 | bearish | pre 47 · decoupling 37 · mag 37 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 35 | Custody of Digital Asset Securities by Special Purpose Broker-Dealers Feb 26, 2021 | bearish | pre 72 · decoupling 30 · mag 0 · infl 0 | Filing → |
| 22 | Electronic Furnishing of Payee Statements Regarding Digital Asset Sales by Brokers Mar 6, 2026 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 74 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 17 | Disapproval of SEC Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 May 16, 2024 | bullish | pre 11 · decoupling 0 · mag 14 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 12 | CLARITY Act, Digital Asset Market Clarity Act Jul 17, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 12 | CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act, 119th Congress Jul 17, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 12 | Gross Proceeds and Basis Reporting by Brokers and Determination of Amount Realized and Basis for Digital Asset Transactions; Correction Aug 16, 2024 | bearish | pre 5 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 12 | GENIUS Act, Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (S.394) Jul 18, 2025 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 11 | SEC closes investigation of Robinhood Crypto Feb 21, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 10 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 11 | Gross Proceeds and Basis Reporting by Brokers and Determination of Amount Realized and Basis for Digital Asset Transactions Jul 9, 2024 | bearish | pre 4 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Dismissal of SEC v. Coinbase Feb 27, 2025 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Pardon of BitMEX co-founders, Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, Samuel Reed and Greg Dwyer Mar 28, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers That Regularly Provide Services Effectuating Digital Asset Sales Jul 11, 2025 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | GENIUS Act Implementation Sep 19, 2025 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 122 Jan 30, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Lummis-Gillibrand Responsible Financial Innovation Act May 15, 2024 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Gross Proceeds Reporting by Brokers That Regularly Provide Services Effectuating Digital Asset Sales Dec 30, 2024 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 10 | Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21, H.R.4763) May 22, 2024 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 100 | Filing → |
| 8 | Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 Apr 11, 2022 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 15 · mag 20 · infl 0 | Filing → |
| 7 | GENIUS Act Requirements and Standards for FDIC-Supervised Permitted Payment Stablecoin Issuers and Insured Depository Institutions Apr 10, 2026 | bullish | pre 11 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 7 | Application of the Federal Securities Laws to Certain Types of Crypto Assets and Certain Transactions Involving Crypto Assets Mar 23, 2026 | unknown | pre 11 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 7 | Gross Proceeds and Basis Reporting by Brokers and Determination of Amount Realized and Basis for Digital Asset Transactions Oct 25, 2023 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 41 | Filing → |
| 6 | Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets Mar 14, 2022 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 25 · mag 0 · infl 0 | Filing → |
| 4 | Gross Proceeds and Basis Reporting by Brokers and Determination of Amount Realized and Basis for Digital Asset Transactions Nov 7, 2023 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 42 | Filing → |
| 3 | Gross Proceeds and Basis Reporting by Brokers and Determination of Amount Realized and Basis for Digital Asset Transactions Aug 29, 2023 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 31 | Filing → |
| 3 | Permitted Payment Stablecoin Issuer Anti-Money Laundering/Countering the Financing of Terrorism Program and Sanctions Compliance Program Requirements Apr 10, 2026 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Withdrawal of Interpretive Guidance: Retail Commodity Transactions Involving Certain Digital Assets Dec 16, 2025 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Implementing the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act for the Issuance of Stablecoins by Entities Subject to the Jurisdiction of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency Mar 2, 2026 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | GENIUS Act Broad-Based Principles for Determining Whether a State-Level Regulatory Regime Is Substantially Similar to the Federal Regulatory Framework Apr 3, 2026 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Implementing the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act for the Issuance of Stablecoins by Entities Subject to the Jurisdiction of the National Credit Union Administration May 18, 2026 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Electronic Furnishing of Payee Statements Regarding Digital Asset Sales by Brokers; Hearing May 18, 2026 | bearish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Approval Requirements for Issuance of Payment Stablecoins by Subsidiaries of FDIC-Supervised Insured Depository Institutions Dec 19, 2025 | bullish | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Policy Statement on Section 9(13) of the Federal Reserve Act Dec 22, 2025 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 3 | Supplemental Information and Reopening of Comment Period for Amendments Regarding the Definition of “Exchange” May 5, 2023 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 30 | Filing → |
| 1 | Requirements for Certain Transactions Involving Convertible Virtual Currency or Digital Assets Dec 23, 2020 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 0 | Filing → |
| 0 | Retail Commodity Transactions Involving Certain Digital Assets Jun 24, 2020 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 0 | Filing → |
| 0 | Policy Statement on Section 9(13) of the Federal Reserve Act Feb 7, 2023 | unknown | pre 0 · decoupling 0 · mag 0 · infl 0 | Filing → |
Triage signal, not proof. A move correlated with a decision does not establish anyone traded on advance knowledge. The entity-to-token link is editorial inference, since holdings are not public.